Transformer架构驱动下的综采工作面矿压时序特征智能预测

Transformer-driven intelligent prediction for the time-series features of mine pressure in fully mechanized mining face

  • 摘要:
    背景 矿压预测是顶板灾害预警和管理的重要手段,是智能化矿井安全生产的前提和基础。开采过程中综采工作面环境复杂多变,导致基于电液控制系统采集的支架压力数据分布差异较大,预测困难。
    方法 基于Transformer的矿压预测模型,使用线性插值填补缺失的矿压值,并使用滑动窗口算法调整训练时的矿压数据结构;针对矿压数据的时序特性,构建融合时序特征的输入序列,利用多头注意力(multi-head-attention)机制动态计算权重,根据数据本身自适应地聚焦关键时间步,从而有效捕捉复杂的非线性时序依赖,显著提升特征表征与预测能力,最后使用迁移学习方法,完成对上、中、下工作面支架工作阻力预测,并搭建基于矿压大数据的智能分析及预测平台。
    结果与结论 使用多头注意力机制代替神经网络捕捉全局矿压数据特征,比循环神经网络(recurrent neural network,RNN)和长短期记忆网络(long short-term memory,LSTM)具有更强长序列依赖能力和特征学习能力,能有效降低模型损失,更加适用预测矿压,Transformer模型在测试集上的均方误差和平均绝对误差损失精度分别达到0.34%和2.57%。Transformer模型也具有较强的泛化能力,使用迁移学习方法微调后,能够有效降低模型损失,在迁移同工作面其他支架时具有更好的泛化效果,Transformer预测模型进一步验证在矿压预测问题的适用性和可行性。平台可视化显示系统精准分析预测前后的来压次数、推进距离、来压判据和工作面矿压云图等关键参数,为顶板灾害预警乃至其他灾害预警提供新思路,也为矿井安全高效开采与智能化建设奠定了坚实基础。

     

    Abstract:
    Objective Mine pressure prediction represents an important means for early warning and management of disasters in coal seam roofs, serving as the prerequisite and foundation for safe production in intelligent mines. However, the complex and variable conditions of fully mechanized mining face lead to significant variations in the distribution of support pressure data acquired using electro-hydraulic control systems, complicating mine pressure prediction.
    Methods This study developed a Transformer-based mine pressure prediction model. Specifically, missing mine pressure data were filled using linear interpolation, and the data structure of mine pressure was adjusted using a sliding window algorithm. Based on the time-series features of mine pressure data, an input sequence incorporating these features was constructed. The dynamic weight computation of the model was performed using the multi-head attention mechanism, while adaptive focus on critical time steps was achieved based on the data itself. Consequently, complex nonlinear time-series dependencies can be effectively captured, thus significantly enhancing feature representation and prediction performance. Finally, the support resistance prediction for the upper, middle, and lower sections of the mining face was conducted using the transfer learning method, and a big-data-driven intelligent platform for mine pressure analysis and prediction was established.
    Results and Conclusions  By capturing global features of mine pressure data using a multi-head attention mechanism rather than neural networks, the Transformer model demonstrated stronger long-sequence dependencies and feature learning capabilities compared to the recurrent neural network (RNN) and long short-term memory (LSTM). Therefore, this model effectively reduced loss and was more suitable for mine pressure prediction, with a mean squared error (MSE) of 0.34% and a mean absolute error (MAE) of 2.57% on the test set. Furthermore, the Transformer model exhibited robust generalization performance. This model exhibited effectively reduced loss after fine-tuning with transfer learning and yielded superior generalization performance when transferred to adjacent supports within the same mining face. These findings further validated the applicability and feasibility of this model in mine pressure prediction. The visualization system of the intelligent platform presented the precise analysis results of key parameters before and after prediction, including roof weighting frequency, advancing distance of the mining face, weighting criterion, and mine pressure contour maps. The results of this study provide a new philosophy for the early warning of disasters, including those in coal seam roofs, while also laying a solid foundation for safe, efficient mining and intelligent construction of mines.

     

/

返回文章
返回