基于加权确定性系数法的地质灾害易发性分析

Analysis of geological hazard susceptibility based on the weighted certainty factor method

  • 摘要: 针对传统的确定性系数法在地质灾害易发性分析中未能考虑各评价因子对地质灾害易发性影响的差异性问题,提出了将层次分析法与确定性系数法相耦合的加权确定性系数法。利用传统确定性系数法计算各因子不同特征变量下的地质灾害易发性指数,利用层次分析法确定各因子的权重大小,并将所有因子的易发性指数进行加权求和,进而分析多因素耦合下地质灾害的易发性大小。以陕西省澄城县地质灾害为例,在GIS支持下分别采用传统确定性系数法与加权确定性系数法进行地质灾害易发性分析的应用研究,结果表明加权确定性系数法对地质灾害易发性分析结果的准确性优于传统确定性系数法。可为区域地质灾害易发性分析的理论方法研究及应用提供参考。

     

    Abstract: Aiming at the problem that the traditional Certainty Factor(CF) method can't solve the difference of each factor in geological hazard susceptibility analysis, a Weighted Certainty Factor(WCF) method which combines the Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP) and traditional CF was proposed. The traditional CF method was used to calculate the susceptibility index of each factor. The weight of each factor was determined by the AHP, and the final susceptibility indexes of all factors were weighted and summed to analyze geological hazard susceptibility. A GIS based comparative study of CF and WCF was illustrated at Chengcheng County, Shaanxi Province. The results showed that the WCF method was superior compare with the traditional CF method for the geological hazard susceptibility analysis. This study can provide a reference for theoretical research and application of geological hazard susceptibility analysis.

     

/

返回文章
返回