何俊, 肖衡林, 郭改梅. 衬垫中污染物运移的一维概率分析[J]. 煤田地质与勘探, 2010, 38(4): 38-41. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-1986.2010.04.009
引用本文: 何俊, 肖衡林, 郭改梅. 衬垫中污染物运移的一维概率分析[J]. 煤田地质与勘探, 2010, 38(4): 38-41. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-1986.2010.04.009
HE Jun, XIAO Henglin, GUO Gaimei. One-dimension probabilistic analysis of contaminant transport through liners[J]. COAL GEOLOGY & EXPLORATION, 2010, 38(4): 38-41. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-1986.2010.04.009
Citation: HE Jun, XIAO Henglin, GUO Gaimei. One-dimension probabilistic analysis of contaminant transport through liners[J]. COAL GEOLOGY & EXPLORATION, 2010, 38(4): 38-41. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1001-1986.2010.04.009

衬垫中污染物运移的一维概率分析

One-dimension probabilistic analysis of contaminant transport through liners

  • 摘要: 衬垫中污染物的运移分析一般采用确定性方法。为了研究渗透系数变异性对污染物运移的影响,基于土层剖面随机场理论,将渗透系数模拟成服从对数正态分布的空间随机场,利用Monte-Carlo和数值积分两种方法进行分析。两种方法得到的结果有很好的一致性。衬垫渗透系数的空间变异性对污染物运移有重要影响。变异系数较大时,衬垫失效概率在前期较大而后期较小,但衬垫底部出现高浓度(相对浓度0.9~1.0)的几率也较高。衬垫的可靠性要综合考虑渗透系数的变异性和渗透系数数值范围的影响。

     

    Abstract: Contaminant transport through liners was analyzed often with deterministic methods.In order to study the impact of spatial variability of hydraulic conductivity on contaminant transport, random field theory of soil profile was used.With hydraulic conductivity being modeled as a lognormal distribution random field, Monte-Carlo method and numerical integrating were used to analyze probabilistic characteristic of contaminant transport.Results from the two methods are of good compatibility.Spatial variability of hydraulic conductivity is very important for contaminant transport through liners.With the increase of variability, failure probability decreases in the late phase, but the probability of very high concentration at the base of liner will increase.The variability and range of hydraulic conductivity will affect the reliability of liner.

     

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